The raw data behind the story "How Much Trouble Is Ted Cruz Really In?" https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-much-trouble-is-ted-cruz-really-in/.

august_senate_polls

Format

A data frame with 594 rows representing senate polls, and 11 variables:

cycle

the election year

state

the state of the poll

senate_class

the class of the senate

start_date

the start date of the poll

end_date

the end odate of the poll

dem_poll

the percent of support for the Democrat during the poll

rep_poll

the percent of support for the Republican during the poll

dem_result

the result percent of support for the Democrat during the election

rep_result

the result percent of support for the Republican during the election

error

the difference between the percent of support of one party during the poll and the result percent of support for the same party during the election

absolute_error

the absolute value of the error value

Source

Emerson College’s poll of registered voters