This file contains links to the data behind FiveThirtyEight's 'Senate forecasts' https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/senate/
senate_seat_forecast
A dataframe with 28353 rows representing seat-level results of the classic, lite, and deluxe Senate forecasts since Aug. 1, 2018 and 12 variables
date of the forecast
state of the forecast
class of the forecast
unknown
name of the candidate
party of the candidate
whether the candidate is incumbent
the model of the forecast
the probability of the corresponding party winning
the voteshare of the corresponding party
the top 10 percentile of the voteshare
the top 00 percentile of the voteshare
FiveThirtyEight’s House, Senate And Governor Models Methodology: https://fivethirtyeight.com/methodology/how-fivethirtyeights-house-and-senate-models-work/